Probability has always<br><div class="gmail_quote"><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex;"><div class="im"><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex">
been a mind bender for me. It so often seems entirely divorced from<br>
common logic...<br>
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Yeah, I'm having trouble with it at the moment. I'm really worried I won't be able to keep up with the level of maths demanded by the courses I'm doing.<br>
<br></blockquote><div><br>I wouldn't feel particularly bad about the Monty Hall problem - its just one of those scenarios that mixes seemingly independent with dependent outcomes - its fairly specific and will rattle you. Better now than in the last lecture :)<br>
<br>Just think that the really scary bit is that it validates the logic of "you should change because its clearly a trick" is correct :)<br><br><br></div></div>